Phillies at Marlins
Last play · Kody Clemens strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Marlins100%
PHI 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 10 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Marlins favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Connor Norby homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Xavier Edwards scores. (inning 1) — +17% Marlins
9Bryce Harper singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cristian Pache. Johan Rojas scores. Buddy Kennedy to 2nd.1–10
3Connor Norby homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Nick Fortes scores.0–10
3Nick Fortes doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Griffin Conine scores. Javier Sanoja scores.0–8
3Javier Sanoja singles on a ground ball to left fielder Kyle Schwarber. Otto Lopez scores. Griffin Conine to 2nd.0–6
3Griffin Conine singles on a line drive to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Jonah Bride scores. Otto Lopez to 3rd.0–5
3Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Schwarber. Jesús Sánchez scores. Jonah Bride to 2nd.0–4
2Xavier Edwards out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Kyle Schwarber. Javier Sanoja scores.0–3
1Connor Norby homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Xavier Edwards scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































