Braves at Marlins
Last play · Ozzie Albies grounds out, third baseman Connor Norby to first baseman Jonah Bride.
Win probability
Marlins100%
ATL 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 2 – 4 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-205 / +170
Marlins favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ramón Laureano homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 6) — -14% Braves
6Ramón Laureano homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.3–4
5Jake Burger grounds out, shortstop Orlando Arcia to first baseman Matt Olson.2–4
4Orlando Arcia homers (17) on a fly ball to left field.2–3
3Jorge Soler out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kyle Stowers. Michael Harris II scores. Marcell Ozuna to 3rd.1–3
1Jonah Bride out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jorge Soler. Jake Burger scores.0–3
1Kyle Stowers singles on a line drive to left fielder Ramón Laureano. Jesús Sánchez scores. Jake Burger to 3rd.0–2
1Jake Burger hits a ground-rule double (20) on a line drive to right field. Connor Norby scores. Jesús Sánchez to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































