Braves at Marlins
Last play · Kyle Stowers grounds out to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Marlins0%
ATL 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 2 – 1 MIA
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+2.5
Moneyline
reference-275 / +225
Marlins favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Olson homers (29) on a fly ball to center field. Marcell Ozuna scores. (inning 7) — -31% Braves
7Gio Urshela homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Ramón Laureano scores.6–2
7Matt Olson homers (29) on a fly ball to center field. Marcell Ozuna scores.4–2
6Otto Lopez grounds into a force out, third baseman Gio Urshela to second baseman Ozzie Albies. Jonah Bride scores. Derek Hill out at 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Ozzie Albies.2–2
5Matt Olson singles on a line drive to center fielder Cristian Pache. Ozzie Albies scores. Marcell Ozuna to 2nd.2–1
2Jorge Soler homers (21) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
1Derek Hill triples (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Jorge Soler. Jonah Bride scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































