Braves at Marlins
Last play · Connor Norby flies out to right fielder Eli White.
Win probability
Marlins0%
ATL 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 3 – 2 MIA
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-190 / +160
Marlins favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Connor Norby homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 6) — +21% Marlins
7Jorge Soler singles on a ground ball to pitcher Declan Cronin. Michael Harris II scores. Matt Olson to 2nd.5–4
6Jesús Sánchez homers (18) on a fly ball to center field.4–4
6Connor Norby homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.4–3
6Gio Urshela homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.4–2
5Matt Olson singles on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Stowers. Michael Harris II scores.3–2
5Michael Harris II triples (3) on a line drive to right fielder Griffin Conine. Orlando Arcia scores.2–2
4Jake Burger homers (28) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
2Jonah Bride homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































