Cardinals at Brewers
Last play · Masyn Winn called out on strikes.
Win probability
Brewers100%
STL 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 2 – 5 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Brewers favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willy Adames homers (29) on a fly ball to left field. Jackson Chourio scores. Jake Bauers scores. (inning 1) — +24% Brewers
6Jackson Chourio hits a grand slam (18) to left center field. Rhys Hoskins scores. Sal Frelick scores. Joey Ortiz scores.3–9
6Luken Baker out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Brendan Donovan scores.3–5
5Pedro Pagés homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.2–5
4Rhys Hoskins homers (23) on a fly ball to left field. Garrett Mitchell scores.1–5
3Pedro Pagés homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
1Willy Adames homers (29) on a fly ball to left field. Jackson Chourio scores. Jake Bauers scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































