Phillies at Brewers
Last play · Garrett Mitchell grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper.
Win probability
Brewers0%
PHI 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 1 MIL
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Brewers favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryce Harper homers (29) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Schwarber scores. (inning 6) — -29% Phillies
9Trea Turner singles on a line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Johan Rojas scores.5–1
7Kyle Schwarber singles on a ground ball to first baseman Jake Bauers, deflected by pitcher Aaron Ashby. Edmundo Sosa scores.4–1
6Bryce Harper homers (29) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Schwarber scores.3–1
4Garrett Mitchell triples (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cal Stevenson. William Contreras scores.1–1
2Nick Castellanos homers (21) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































