Phillies at Brewers
Last play · Jake Bauers singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Jackson Chourio scores. William Contreras to 3rd. Willy Adames to 2nd.
Win probability
Brewers100%
PHI 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 1 MIL
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Brewers favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rhys Hoskins homers (25) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 5) — +22% Brewers
9Jake Bauers singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Jackson Chourio scores. William Contreras to 3rd. Willy Adames to 2nd.1–2
5Rhys Hoskins homers (25) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
2Alec Bohm homers (14) on a line drive to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































