Mets at Brewers
Last play · Brandon Nimmo strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Brewers100%
NYM 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 2 – 6 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Brewers favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rhys Hoskins hits a grand slam (26) to left center field. Brice Turang scores. William Contreras scores. Willy Adames scores. (inning 1) — +23% Brewers
8Gary Sánchez homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.4–8
8J.D. Martinez reaches on a fielding error by second baseman Brice Turang. Pete Alonso scores. Jose Iglesias to 3rd.4–7
8Harrison Bader out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Brandon Nimmo scores.3–7
6Garrett Mitchell walks. Brice Turang scores. Wild pitch by pitcher Danny Young.2–7
4Mets challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was upheld: Jackson Chourio singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jose Iglesias. Brice Turang scores. Garrett Mitchell to 3rd.2–6
3Mark Vientos homers (27) on a fly ball to center field. Francisco Alvarez scores.2–5
2Brice Turang doubles (24) on a line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Blake Perkins scores.0–5
1Rhys Hoskins hits a grand slam (26) to left center field. Brice Turang scores. William Contreras scores. Willy Adames scores.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































