Blue Jays at Twins
Last play · Ernie Clement flies out to right fielder Max Kepler.
Win probability
Twins100%
TOR 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 0 MIN
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+225 / -275
Twins favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Royce Lewis homers (16) on a fly ball to left field. Ryan Jeffers scores. Austin Martin scores. (inning 8) — +73% Twins
8Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Royce Lewis homers (16) on a fly ball to left field. Ryan Jeffers scores. Austin Martin scores.3–4
8Joey Loperfido grounds out, shortstop Brooks Lee to first baseman Carlos Santana. Ernie Clement scores. Addison Barger to 3rd. Leo Jiménez to 2nd.3–1
8Leo Jiménez hit by pitch. Nathan Lukes scores. Ernie Clement to 3rd. Addison Barger to 2nd.2–1
7Carlos Santana grounds out, third baseman Luis De Los Santos to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Royce Lewis scores. Brooks Lee to 2nd.1–1
1Ernie Clement homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































