Reds at Twins
Last play · Kyle Farmer flies out to right fielder Will Benson.
Win probability
Twins0%
CIN 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 10 – 1 MIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Twins favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Noelvi Marte hits a ground-rule double (8) on a fly ball to left-center field. TJ Friedl scores. Ty France scores. Jake Fraley to 3rd. (inning 4) — -26% Reds
8Will Benson singles on a line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Jonathan India scores.11–1
5Jake Fraley homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.10–1
4TJ Friedl homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Spencer Steer scores.9–1
4Spencer Steer doubles (33) on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Jonathan India scores. Elly De La Cruz scores.7–1
4Jonathan India singles on a line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Jake Fraley scores. Noelvi Marte scores.5–1
4Noelvi Marte hits a ground-rule double (8) on a fly ball to left-center field. TJ Friedl scores. Ty France scores. Jake Fraley to 3rd.3–1
4Ty France singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Royce Lewis. Spencer Steer scores. TJ Friedl to 2nd.1–1
1Byron Buxton singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jonathan India. Matt Wallner scores. Royce Lewis to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































