Marlins at Twins
Last play · Carlos Correa grounds out softly, pitcher Darren McCaughan to first baseman Jonah Bride.
Win probability
Twins0%
MIA 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 4 – 0 MIN
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+215 / -265
Twins favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brooks Lee doubles (6) on a fly ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Royce Lewis scores. Carlos Santana scores. (inning 8) — +45% Twins
13Byron Buxton grounds out, third baseman Connor Norby to first baseman Jonah Bride. Willi Castro scores.8–6
13Griffin Conine singles on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Otto Lopez scores. Xavier Edwards scores. Connor Norby to 2nd.8–5
13Otto Lopez doubles (22) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Martin. Dane Myers scores.6–5
10Willi Castro out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Derek Hill. Royce Lewis scores. Carlos Santana to 3rd. Brooks Lee to 2nd.5–5
10Jonah Bride out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Austin Martin. Griffin Conine scores.5–4
8Brooks Lee doubles (6) on a fly ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Royce Lewis scores. Carlos Santana scores.4–4
7Marlins challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was upheld: Byron Buxton reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Xavier Edwards. Ryan Jeffers scores. Austin Martin to 3rd.4–2
6Carlos Correa homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.4–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































