Reds at Twins
Last play · Elly De La Cruz strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins100%
CIN 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 2 – 1 MIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Twins favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brooks Lee singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Trevor Larnach scores. Ryan Jeffers scores. (inning 6) — +31% Twins
7Brooks Lee triples (1) on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Fraley. Trevor Larnach scores. Willi Castro scores. Ryan Jeffers scores.2–9
7Carlos Santana homers (22) on a fly ball to left field. Royce Lewis scores.2–6
6Brooks Lee singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Trevor Larnach scores. Ryan Jeffers scores.2–4
6Ryan Jeffers doubles (22) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Spencer Steer. Carlos Santana scores. Trevor Larnach to 3rd.2–2
4Willi Castro singles on a line drive to left fielder Spencer Steer. Carlos Santana scores.2–1
4Ty France out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Willi Castro. Spencer Steer scores.2–0
4Spencer Steer triples (4) on a fly ball to center fielder Willi Castro. Tyler Stephenson scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































