Marlins at Twins
Last play · Carlos Correa called out on strikes.
Win probability
Twins0%
MIA 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 4 – 1 MIN
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+210 / -255
Twins favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Xavier Edwards doubles (10) on a line drive to left fielder Willi Castro. Otto Lopez scores. Nick Fortes scores. (inning 2) — -15% Marlins
3Royce Lewis singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Byron Buxton scores. Carlos Santana to 2nd.4–1
2Xavier Edwards doubles (10) on a line drive to left fielder Willi Castro. Otto Lopez scores. Nick Fortes scores.4–0
2Nick Fortes singles on a line drive to right fielder Manuel Margot. Derek Hill scores. Otto Lopez to 2nd.2–0
2Jonah Bride homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































