Orioles at Twins
Last play · Christian Vázquez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins0%
BAL 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 3 – 2 MIN
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Twins favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · James McCann homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Cedric Mullins scores. (inning 5) — -41% Orioles
8Heston Kjerstad homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.6–2
7Jordan Westburg singles on a line drive to left fielder Austin Martin. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Cedric Mullins scores. Jackson Holliday to 3rd.5–2
5James McCann homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Cedric Mullins scores.3–2
3DaShawn Keirsey Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
2Carlos Santana homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































