Red Sox at Mets
Last play · Mickey Gasper strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets100%
BOS 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 4 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Mets favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Nimmo doubles (24) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Francisco Lindor scores. (inning 3) — +11% Mets
4Francisco Lindor singles on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Luis Torrens scores.1–4
4Luis Torrens doubles (7) on a fly ball to left fielder Tyler O'Neill. DJ Stewart scores. Fielding error by left fielder Tyler O'Neill.1–3
3Brandon Nimmo doubles (24) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Francisco Lindor scores.1–2
3Jarren Duran singles on a ground ball to right fielder Starling Marte. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Starling Marte to shortstop Francisco Lindor.1–1
2Starling Marte grounds into a double play, second baseman Enmanuel Valdez to shortstop Ceddanne Rafaela to first baseman Triston Casas. Jose Iglesias scores. Jeff McNeil out at 2nd. Starling Marte out at 1st.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































