Red Sox at Mets
Last play · Triston Casas called out on strikes.
Win probability
Mets100%
BOS 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 2 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Mets favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Francisco Lindor homers (30) on a fly ball to right field. Jeff McNeil scores. (inning 3) — +23% Mets
8Pete Alonso homers (31) on a fly ball to center field. Francisco Lindor scores.2–7
8Brandon Nimmo out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Francisco Alvarez scores.2–5
8Francisco Lindor doubles (37) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Wilyer Abreu. Jeff McNeil scores. Francisco Alvarez to 3rd.2–4
8Enmanuel Valdez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jeff McNeil. Jarren Duran scores.2–3
7Mark Vientos homers (22) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
5Nick Sogard singles on a fly ball to center fielder Brandon Nimmo. Masataka Yoshida scores.1–2
3Francisco Lindor homers (30) on a fly ball to right field. Jeff McNeil scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































