Reds at Mets
Last play · Mark Vientos homers (24) on a fly ball to left field. Brandon Nimmo scores.
Win probability
Mets100%
CIN 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 2 – 2 NYM
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -180
Mets favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · TJ Friedl homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Spencer Steer scores. (inning 7) — -36% Reds
10Mark Vientos homers (24) on a fly ball to left field. Brandon Nimmo scores.4–6
7TJ Friedl homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Spencer Steer scores.4–4
6J.D. Martinez singles on a line drive to right fielder Jake Fraley. Jose Iglesias scores.2–4
6Jose Iglesias singles on a line drive to left fielder Spencer Steer. Pete Alonso scores. Jose Iglesias to 2nd.2–3
4Elly De La Cruz homers (23) on a fly ball to center field. Jonathan India scores.2–2
1Mark Vientos homers (23) on a fly ball to left field. Francisco Lindor scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































