Red Sox at Mets
Last play · Romy Gonzalez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets100%
BOS 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 3 – 4 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Mets favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jesse Winker hits a grand slam (14) to center field. Francisco Lindor scores. Brandon Nimmo scores. Mark Vientos scores. (inning 1) — +23% Mets
8Harrison Bader out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tyler O'Neill. Tyrone Taylor scores.3–8
8Francisco Alvarez walks. Jesse Winker scores. Tyrone Taylor to 3rd. Jeff McNeil to 2nd.3–7
8Jeff McNeil walks. Jose Iglesias scores. Jesse Winker to 3rd. Tyrone Taylor to 2nd.3–6
8Tyrone Taylor walks. Brandon Nimmo scores. Jose Iglesias to 3rd. Jesse Winker to 2nd.3–5
3Wilyer Abreu out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Harrison Bader. Jarren Duran scores.3–4
3Rafael Devers out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Tyrone Taylor. Nick Sogard scores. Jarren Duran to 3rd.2–4
3Jarren Duran hits a ground-rule double (44) on a line drive down the right-field line. Enmanuel Valdez scores. Nick Sogard to 3rd.1–4
1Jesse Winker hits a grand slam (14) to center field. Francisco Lindor scores. Brandon Nimmo scores. Mark Vientos scores.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































