Reds at Mets
Last play · Santiago Espinal pops out to shortstop Francisco Lindor.
Win probability
Mets100%
CIN 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 0 NYM
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Mets favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Harrison Bader homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 6) — +26% Mets
6J.D. Martinez doubles (23) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Spencer Steer. Brandon Nimmo scores. Pete Alonso scores.0–4
6Pete Alonso singles on a ground ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Francisco Lindor scores. Brandon Nimmo to 2nd.0–2
6Harrison Bader homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































