Phillies at Mets
Last play · Trea Turner flies out to right fielder Tyrone Taylor.
Win probability
Mets100%
PHI 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 3 – 9 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Mets favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trea Turner homers (19) on a fly ball to left center field. Kyle Schwarber scores. (inning 3) — -23% Phillies
7Luisangel Acuña triples (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Francisco Alvarez scores.6–10
7Bryce Harper doubles (41) on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Brandon Marsh scores. Kyle Schwarber scores.6–9
7Kyle Schwarber grounds into a force out, second baseman Jose Iglesias to shortstop Luisangel Acuña. J.T. Realmuto scores. Brandon Marsh to 3rd. Weston Wilson out at 2nd. Kyle Schwarber to 1st.4–9
4Mark Vientos singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cal Stevenson. Brandon Nimmo scores.3–9
4Brandon Nimmo doubles (25) on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Jose Iglesias scores.3–8
4Francisco Alvarez homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. J.D. Martinez scores. Tyrone Taylor scores.3–7
4Brandon Marsh singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Nick Castellanos scores. J.T. Realmuto to 2nd.3–4
3Brandon Nimmo homers (21) on a fly ball to center field. Jose Iglesias scores.2–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































