Phillies at Mets
Last play · Alec Bohm grounds out, third baseman Jose Iglesias to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Mets100%
PHI 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 2 – 2 NYM
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Mets favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Nimmo singles on a line drive to left fielder Weston Wilson. Starling Marte scores. Pete Alonso to 3rd. (inning 7) — +21% Mets
8Pete Alonso singles on a fly ball to center fielder Cal Stevenson. Jose Iglesias scores. Starling Marte to 3rd.3–6
8Cal Stevenson grounds into a force out, first baseman Pete Alonso to shortstop Luisangel Acuña. J.T. Realmuto scores. Bryson Stott out at 2nd. Cal Stevenson to 1st.3–5
7Francisco Alvarez doubles (13) on a line drive to center fielder Johan Rojas. Pete Alonso scores. Brandon Nimmo scores.2–5
7Brandon Nimmo singles on a line drive to left fielder Weston Wilson. Starling Marte scores. Pete Alonso to 3rd.2–3
5Nick Castellanos homers (22) on a fly ball to left field.2–2
2Luisangel Acuña homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
2Francisco Alvarez homers (11) on a line drive to left field.1–1
1Kyle Schwarber homers (36) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































