Phillies at Mets
Last play · Kody Clemens strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets100%
PHI 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 1 NYM
Tied through 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 56.6% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Mets favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Nimmo homers (22) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 6) — +26% Mets
6Brandon Nimmo homers (22) on a fly ball to right field.1–2
2Tyrone Taylor singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Mark Vientos scores. Tyrone Taylor to 2nd.1–1
1Alec Bohm singles on a line drive to right fielder Starling Marte. Trea Turner scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































