Red Sox at Yankees
Last play · Juan Soto singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Jon Berti scores.
Win probability
Yankees100%
BOS 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 1 NYY
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -200
Yankees favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Danny Jansen homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 5) — -20% Red Sox
10Juan Soto singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Jon Berti scores.1–2
5Danny Jansen homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
1Gleyber Torres homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































