Red Sox at Yankees
Last play · Jarren Duran grounds into a double play, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Oswaldo Cabrera. Wilyer Abreu out at 2nd. Jarren Duran out at 1st.
Win probability
Yankees100%
BOS 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 2 – 4 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -180
Yankees favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gleyber Torres homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 3) — +18% Yankees
7Giancarlo Stanton out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarren Duran. Gleyber Torres scores.2–5
4Tyler O'Neill homers (31) on a fly ball to left center field. Rafael Devers scores.2–4
3Aaron Judge homers (53) on a fly ball to center field. Juan Soto scores.0–4
3Gleyber Torres homers (14) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
2Giancarlo Stanton doubles (18) on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































