Pirates at Yankees
Last play · Oswaldo Cabrera strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees0%
PIT 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 2 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Yankees favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryan Reynolds homers (24) on a fly ball to center field. Billy Cook scores. (inning 8) — -39% Pirates
8Bryan Reynolds homers (24) on a fly ball to center field. Billy Cook scores.4–2
6Bryan Reynolds homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field.2–2
6Nick Gonzales homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
5Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a ground ball to center fielder Billy Cook. Jose Trevino scores. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. Juan Soto to 2nd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































