Orioles at Yankees
Last play · Cedric Mullins grounds out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Anthony Rizzo.
Win probability
Yankees100%
BAL 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 0 – 1 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Yankees favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Wells walks. Gleyber Torres scores. Juan Soto to 3rd. Aaron Judge to 2nd. (inning 6) — +11% Yankees
9Emmanuel Rivera out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Aaron Judge. Austin Slater scores. Adley Rutschman to 3rd.1–10
8Alex Verdugo homers (13) on a fly ball to right field.0–10
7Aaron Judge homers (58) on a fly ball to left center field. Juan Soto scores.0–9
6Anthony Rizzo singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Anthony Santander. Giancarlo Stanton scores. Jasson Domínguez scores.0–7
6Giancarlo Stanton doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Juan Soto scores. Aaron Judge scores. Austin Wells scores.0–5
6Austin Wells walks. Gleyber Torres scores. Juan Soto to 3rd. Aaron Judge to 2nd.0–2
2Giancarlo Stanton homers (27) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































