Rays at Phillies
Last play · Dylan Carlson lines out to center fielder Cal Stevenson.
Win probability
Phillies100%
TB 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 3 – 4 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Phillies favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cal Stevenson doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Brandon Marsh scores. Kody Clemens scores. (inning 8) — +34% Phillies
8Trea Turner homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field. Buddy Kennedy scores.4–9
8Buddy Kennedy singles on a fly ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Cal Stevenson scores.4–7
8Cal Stevenson doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Brandon Marsh scores. Kody Clemens scores.4–6
6Christopher Morel triples (3) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Johan Rojas. Logan Driscoll scores.4–4
5Junior Caminero singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Jonny DeLuca scores. Josh Lowe to 2nd.3–4
3Trea Turner homers (17) on a fly ball to left center field. Kyle Schwarber scores.2–4
3Yandy Díaz singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Jonathan Aranda scores.2–2
2Johan Rojas doubles (11) on a line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Brandon Marsh scores. Johan Rojas to 3rd. Throwing error by right fielder Josh Lowe.1–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































