Rays at Phillies
Last play · Kody Clemens singles on a ground ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Bryce Harper scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd. Buddy Kennedy to 2nd.
Win probability
Phillies100%
TB 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 0 PHI
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -205
Phillies favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Lowe homers (17) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 9) — -41% Rays
9Kody Clemens singles on a ground ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Bryce Harper scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd. Buddy Kennedy to 2nd.1–2
9Brandon Lowe homers (17) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
6Kyle Schwarber homers (34) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































