Mets at Phillies
Last play · J.T. Realmuto singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Nick Castellanos scores.
Win probability
Phillies100%
NYM 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 0 PHI
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Phillies favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyrone Taylor homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 8) — -33% Mets
9J.T. Realmuto singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Nick Castellanos scores.1–2
8Buddy Kennedy doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Weston Wilson scores.1–1
8Tyrone Taylor homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































