Mets at Phillies
Last play · Brandon Nimmo grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper.
Win probability
Phillies100%
NYM 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 4 – 1 PHI
Mets led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Phillies favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cal Stevenson doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Starling Marte. Bryson Stott scores. J.T. Realmuto scores. (inning 7) — +44% Phillies
8J.T. Realmuto doubles (16) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brandon Nimmo. Nick Castellanos scores.4–6
7Cal Stevenson doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Starling Marte. Bryson Stott scores. J.T. Realmuto scores.4–5
6Bryce Harper homers (28) on a fly ball to right center field. Trea Turner scores.4–3
4Bryce Harper homers (27) on a fly ball to left center field.4–1
3Starling Marte triples (3) on a line drive to center fielder Cal Stevenson. Brandon Nimmo scores. Pete Alonso scores.4–0
3Pete Alonso singles on a ground ball to third baseman Kody Clemens. Mark Vientos scores. Brandon Nimmo to 3rd. Throwing error by third baseman Kody Clemens.2–0
1Starling Marte walks. Jose Iglesias scores. Pete Alonso to 3rd. J.D. Martinez to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































