Cubs at Phillies
Last play · Michael Busch flies out to right fielder Nick Castellanos.
Win probability
Phillies100%
CHC 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 0 – 5 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Phillies favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · J.T. Realmuto homers (14) on a line drive to center field. Bryson Stott scores. (inning 2) — +20% Phillies
7Mike Tauchman grounds out to first baseman Bryce Harper. Nico Hoerner scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd. Christian Bethancourt to 2nd.2–6
7Nico Hoerner doubles (33) on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Isaac Paredes scores.1–6
6Kyle Schwarber grounds into a double play, second baseman Nico Hoerner to shortstop Luis Vazquez to first baseman Michael Busch. Brandon Marsh scores. Johan Rojas out at 2nd. Kyle Schwarber out at 1st.0–6
5Bryson Stott flies out to left fielder Mike Tauchman.0–5
3Nick Castellanos singles on a line drive to left fielder Mike Tauchman. Trea Turner scores. Alec Bohm to 2nd.0–4
3Kyle Schwarber homers (37) on a fly ball to center field.0–3
2J.T. Realmuto homers (14) on a line drive to center field. Bryson Stott scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































