Rays at Phillies
Last play · Ben Rortvedt grounds out to first baseman Kody Clemens.
Win probability
Phillies100%
TB 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 2 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+195 / -235
Phillies favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Weston Wilson singles on a ground ball to shortstop Taylor Walls, deflected by pitcher Drew Rasmussen. Nick Castellanos scores. Brandon Marsh to 2nd. (inning 6) — +19% Phillies
6Weston Wilson singles on a ground ball to shortstop Taylor Walls, deflected by pitcher Drew Rasmussen. Nick Castellanos scores. Brandon Marsh to 2nd.2–3
6Jonathan Aranda homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.2–2
2Taylor Walls singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Dylan Carlson scores. Jonathan Aranda to 3rd.1–2
1Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Nick Castellanos homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field. Trea Turner scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































