Cubs at Phillies
Last play · Isaac Paredes lines out to left fielder Austin Hays.
Win probability
Phillies100%
CHC 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 4 – 8 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+180 / -215
Phillies favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nico Hoerner homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Isaac Paredes scores. Cody Bellinger scores. (inning 4) — -25% Cubs
9Dansby Swanson doubles (26) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Kevin Alcántara scores.6–9
7J.T. Realmuto singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Bryson Stott scores.5–9
6Nico Hoerner homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.5–8
5Brandon Marsh doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Nick Castellanos scores. Bryson Stott scores. J.T. Realmuto scores.4–8
5Cody Bellinger singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Hays. Dansby Swanson scores. Isaac Paredes to 2nd.4–5
4Kody Clemens homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.3–5
4Nico Hoerner homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Isaac Paredes scores. Cody Bellinger scores.3–4
3Nick Castellanos homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































