Marlins at Pirates
Last play · Nick Fortes flies out to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz.
Win probability
Pirates100%
MIA 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 3 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+230 / -285
Pirates favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryan Reynolds singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Alika Williams scores. Nick Gonzales scores. (inning 2) — +16% Pirates
9Cristian Pache doubles (8) on a fly ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Jesús Sánchez scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd.2–3
4Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Jesús Sánchez scores.1–3
2Bryan Reynolds singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Alika Williams scores. Nick Gonzales scores.0–3
1Oneil Cruz homers (19) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































