Nationals at Pirates
Last play · Ildemaro Vargas grounds into a force out, shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa to second baseman Nick Gonzales. Andrés Chaparro out at 2nd.
Win probability
Pirates100%
WSH 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 3 – 6 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Pirates favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Gonzales singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Crews. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Bryan Reynolds scores. Oneil Cruz to 2nd. (inning 2) — +20% Pirates
9Andrés Chaparro hit by pitch. Nasim Nuñez scores. Dylan Crews to 3rd. Juan Yepez to 2nd.4–9
6Rowdy Tellez walks. Bryan Reynolds scores. Oneil Cruz to 3rd. Nick Gonzales to 2nd.3–9
6Nick Gonzales walks. Bryan De La Cruz scores. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd. Oneil Cruz to 2nd.3–8
6Oneil Cruz hit by pitch.3–7
3Yasmani Grandal singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Crews. Connor Joe scores.3–6
2Nick Gonzales singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Crews. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Bryan Reynolds scores. Oneil Cruz to 2nd.3–5
2Bryan Reynolds singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Crews. Jared Triolo scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa to 3rd.3–3
2Isiah Kiner-Falefa singles on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Yasmani Grandal scores. Jared Triolo to 3rd.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































