Marlins at Pirates
Last play · Xavier Edwards flies out to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz.
Win probability
Pirates100%
MIA 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 0 – 3 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Pirates favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Connor Joe out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cristian Pache. Joey Bart scores. Nick Gonzales to 3rd. (inning 1) — +9% Pirates
9Cristian Pache singles on a ground ball to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Otto Lopez scores. Jake Burger to 2nd.1–3
2Jared Triolo homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.0–3
1Connor Joe out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cristian Pache. Joey Bart scores. Nick Gonzales to 3rd.0–2
1Oneil Cruz walks. Bryan Reynolds scores. Joey Bart to 3rd. Nick Gonzales to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































