Royals at Pirates
Last play · Robbie Grossman grounds out, third baseman Jared Triolo to first baseman Connor Joe.
Win probability
Pirates100%
KC 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 2 – 4 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Pirates favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Gonzales grounds out softly, third baseman Paul DeJong to first baseman Yuli Gurriel. Oneil Cruz scores. Joey Bart to 3rd. Rowdy Tellez to 2nd. (inning 4) — +16% Pirates
6Bobby Witt Jr. walks. Yuli Gurriel scores. Maikel Garcia to 3rd. Kyle Isbel to 2nd.3–4
5Rowdy Tellez walks. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Oneil Cruz to 3rd. Joey Bart to 2nd.2–4
5Isiah Kiner-Falefa singles on a ground ball to center fielder Garrett Hampson. Billy Cook scores.2–3
4Nick Gonzales grounds out softly, third baseman Paul DeJong to first baseman Yuli Gurriel. Oneil Cruz scores. Joey Bart to 3rd. Rowdy Tellez to 2nd.2–2
4Maikel Garcia doubles (27) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Yuli Gurriel scores.2–1
2Yuli Gurriel out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Michael Massey scores.1–1
1Bryan Reynolds doubles (29) on a ground ball to left fielder Tommy Pham. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































