Royals at Pirates
Last play · Nick Gonzales grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Salvador Perez.
Win probability
Pirates0%
KC 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 3 – 1 PIT
Royals led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 45.5% · hold 7.1%
Run line
+3.5
Moneyline
reference-20000 / +3000
Pirates favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Oneil Cruz singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Jared Triolo scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa to 3rd. (inning 5) — +13% Pirates
7Bobby Witt Jr. doubles (43) on a fly ball to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Kyle Isbel scores.5–1
6Freddy Fermin reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Jared Triolo. Michael Massey scores.4–1
5Oneil Cruz singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Jared Triolo scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa to 3rd.3–1
5Bobby Witt Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Maikel Garcia scores. Kyle Isbel to 3rd.3–0
5Maikel Garcia doubles (26) on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Adam Frazier scores.2–0
1Bobby Witt Jr. homers (31) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































