Brewers at Pirates
Last play · Brewers challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Willy Adames singles on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Willy Adames out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Bryan Reynolds to second baseman Nick Gonzales.
Win probability
Pirates100%
MIL 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 1 – 2 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-160 / +135
Pirates favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Liover Peguero doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Yasmani Grandal scores. Nick Yorke scores. (inning 5) — +30% Pirates
5Liover Peguero doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Yasmani Grandal scores. Nick Yorke scores.1–2
2Jake Bauers homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































