Brewers at Pirates
Last play · Isiah Kiner-Falefa grounds into a force out, shortstop Willy Adames to second baseman Brice Turang. Jared Triolo out at 2nd.
Win probability
Pirates0%
MIL 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 4 – 2 PIT
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Pirates favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Ortiz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Rhys Hoskins scores. Sal Frelick scores. (inning 2) — -18% Brewers
7Sal Frelick out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Oneil Cruz. William Contreras scores.7–2
7Rhys Hoskins walks. Blake Perkins scores. William Contreras to 3rd. Willy Adames to 2nd.6–2
7Willy Adames walks. Jackson Chourio scores. Blake Perkins to 3rd. William Contreras to 2nd.5–2
4Joey Ortiz reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Billy Cook. Willy Adames scores. Rhys Hoskins to 2nd. Throwing error by first baseman Billy Cook.4–2
2Nick Yorke out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Sal Frelick. Bryan De La Cruz scores.3–2
2Jared Triolo singles on a ground ball to center fielder Blake Perkins. Joey Bart scores. Bryan De La Cruz to 3rd.3–1
2Joey Ortiz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Rhys Hoskins scores. Sal Frelick scores.3–0
2Sal Frelick doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Willy Adames scores. Rhys Hoskins to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































