Giants at Padres
Last play · Luis Arraez flies out to left fielder Heliot Ramos in foul territory.
Win probability
Padres0%
SF 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 4 – 3 SD
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -200
Padres favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Grant McCray homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Patrick Bailey scores. Brett Wisely scores. (inning 2) — -36% Giants
9Grant McCray homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Patrick Bailey scores.6–3
5Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to center fielder Grant McCray. Tyler Wade scores.4–3
4Grant McCray grounds into a double play, shortstop Mason McCoy to first baseman Jake Cronenworth. Patrick Bailey scores. Tyler Fitzgerald to 3rd. Brett Wisely out at 2nd. Grant McCray out at 1st.4–2
2Grant McCray homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Patrick Bailey scores. Brett Wisely scores.3–2
1Xander Bogaerts grounds into a double play, second baseman Brett Wisely to shortstop Tyler Fitzgerald to first baseman Mark Canha. Jurickson Profar scores. Jake Cronenworth to 3rd. Manny Machado out at 2nd. Xander Bogaerts out at 1st.0–2
1Manny Machado singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Grant McCray. Luis Arraez scores. Jurickson Profar to 3rd. Jake Cronenworth to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































