Giants at Padres
Last play · Jurickson Profar flies out to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski in foul territory.
Win probability
Padres0%
SF 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 6 – 1 SD
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -200
Padres favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Chapman homers (23) on a fly ball to left center field. Heliot Ramos scores. (inning 4) — -26% Giants
8Xander Bogaerts homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Jake Cronenworth scores.7–6
7Jurickson Profar reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Tyler Fitzgerald. Donovan Solano scores. Luis Arraez scores. Jurickson Profar to 2nd.7–4
6Curt Casali homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.7–1
5Jackson Merrill homers (23) on a fly ball to left field.6–1
4Luis Matos homers (5) on a line drive to left field.6–0
4Jerar Encarnacion homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Michael Conforto scores. Tyler Fitzgerald scores.5–0
4Matt Chapman homers (23) on a fly ball to left center field. Heliot Ramos scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































