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Astros at Padres

HOU1SD3
Final
Inn123456789RHE
HOU000000010160
SD10010001·3132
Last play · Jake Meyers flies out to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr.
Win probability
Padres100%
HOU 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
HOU 02 SD
Padres led after 5
Inning 1: Manny Machado doubles (29) on a line drive to left fielder Jason Heyward. Jurickson Profar scores.Inning 4: Jackson Merrill homers (24) on a fly ball to center field.Inning 8: Yordan Alvarez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Jose Altuve scores.Inning 8: Jurickson Profar homers (23) on a fly ball to right field.
Padres favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jurickson Profar homers (23) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 8) — +17% Padres

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.