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Astros at Padres

HOU4SD3
Final
Inn12345678910RHE
HOU0002000101490
SD0000020100360
Last play · Manny Machado grounds into a force out, second baseman Grae Kessinger to shortstop Jeremy Peña. Jurickson Profar out at 2nd.
Win probability
Padres0%
HOU 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
HOU 20 SD
Astros led after 5
Inning 4: Jon Singleton doubles (11) on a fly ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Kyle Tucker scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd.Inning 4: Jeremy Peña grounds out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Donovan Solano. Alex Bregman scores. Jon Singleton to 3rd.Inning 6: Manny Machado homers (27) on a fly ball to left center field. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.Inning 8: Alex Bregman walks. Yordan Alvarez scores. Kyle Tucker to 3rd. Wild pitch by pitcher Jason Adam.Inning 8: Jackson Merrill lines out to pitcher Josh Hader.Inning 10: Kyle Tucker singles on a line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Grae Kessinger scores.
Padres favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jackson Merrill lines out to pitcher Josh Hader. (inning 8) — +32% Padres

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.