White Sox at Padres
Last play · Luis Robert Jr. strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Padres100%
CWS 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 0 – 4 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-2.5
Moneyline
reference+280 / -350
Padres favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Xander Bogaerts homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field. Jackson Merrill scores. (inning 2) — +20% Padres
8Elias Díaz homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. David Peralta scores.2–6
8Bryan Ramos walks. Miguel Vargas scores. Luis Robert Jr. to 3rd. Lenyn Sosa to 2nd.2–4
6Lenyn Sosa singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Luis Robert Jr. scores. Andrew Vaughn to 2nd.1–4
5Jackson Merrill singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Luis Robert Jr. Jurickson Profar scores.0–4
4David Peralta homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.0–3
2Xander Bogaerts homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field. Jackson Merrill scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































