White Sox at Padres
Last play · Gavin Sheets strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Padres100%
CWS 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 1 – 1 SD
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-2.5
Moneyline
reference+280 / -350
Padres favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis Arraez doubles (29) on a line drive to left fielder Andrew Benintendi. Tyler Wade scores. (inning 8) — +32% Padres
8Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field.2–4
8Jurickson Profar out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Dominic Fletcher. Brandon Lockridge scores.2–3
8Luis Arraez doubles (29) on a line drive to left fielder Andrew Benintendi. Tyler Wade scores.2–2
6Miguel Vargas homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
3Jurickson Profar homers (24) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
3Korey Lee homers (11) on a line drive to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































