Padres at Mariners
Last play · Jake Cronenworth grounds out, second baseman Jorge Polanco to first baseman Luke Raley.
Win probability
Mariners100%
SD 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 0 – 3 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Mariners favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luke Raley singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Victor Robles scores. Julio Rodríguez scores. Cal Raleigh to 2nd. (inning 3) — +17% Mariners
7Xander Bogaerts singles on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Jurickson Profar scores. Jake Cronenworth to 2nd.2–5
7Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (16) on a fly ball to left field.1–5
6J.P. Crawford doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Luke Raley scores. Justin Turner scores.0–5
3Luke Raley singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Victor Robles scores. Julio Rodríguez scores. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.0–3
3Cal Raleigh singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Josh Rojas scores. Victor Robles to 3rd. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































