Rangers at Mariners
Last play · Randy Arozarena singles on a ground ball to center fielder Leody Taveras, deflected by shortstop Josh Smith. Victor Robles scores. Julio Rodríguez to 3rd. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.
Win probability
Mariners100%
TEX 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 4 – 4 SEA
Tied through 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Mariners favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luke Raley homers (20) on a fly ball to center field. Cal Raleigh scores. (inning 5) — +29% Mariners
9Randy Arozarena singles on a ground ball to center fielder Leody Taveras, deflected by shortstop Josh Smith. Victor Robles scores. Julio Rodríguez to 3rd. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.4–5
5Luke Raley homers (20) on a fly ball to center field. Cal Raleigh scores.4–4
5Marcus Semien homers (22) on a fly ball to left field. Carson Kelly scores.4–2
3Julio Rodríguez homers (16) on a fly ball to left field.2–2
3Leody Taveras homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Carson Kelly scores.2–1
2Josh Rojas out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Justin Turner scores. Jorge Polanco to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































