Rangers at Mariners
Last play · Julio Rodríguez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners0%
TEX 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 4 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Mariners favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nathaniel Lowe singles on a ground ball to shortstop J. P. Crawford, deflected by second baseman Jorge Polanco. Wyatt Langford scores. (inning 8) — -26% Rangers
8Nathaniel Lowe singles on a ground ball to shortstop J. P. Crawford, deflected by second baseman Jorge Polanco. Wyatt Langford scores.5–4
8Adolis García grounds out, shortstop J. P. Crawford to first baseman Luke Raley. Josh Smith scores. Wyatt Langford to 3rd.4–4
8Marcus Semien homers (21) on a fly ball to left center field.3–4
7Nathaniel Lowe homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.2–4
5Justin Turner called out on strikes.1–4
5Randy Arozarena singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Victor Robles scores. Julio Rodríguez scores. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.1–3
4Justin Turner homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
2Josh Jung homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































