Yankees at Mariners
Last play · Gleyber Torres strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners100%
NYY 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 2 – 3 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Mariners favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field. Aaron Judge scores. (inning 3) — -19% Yankees
3Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field. Aaron Judge scores.2–3
1J.P. Crawford singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Luke Raley scores. Justin Turner to 2nd.0–3
1Jorge Polanco out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Juan Soto. Randy Arozarena scores. Luke Raley to 3rd.0–2
1Justin Turner hits a sacrifice fly. Fielding error by left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Julio Rodríguez scores. Randy Arozarena to 3rd. Luke Raley to 2nd. Justin Turner to 1st.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































